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Red9
57086.7
714410.5
615010.1
Blue22
72039.1
365811.1
56856.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36380206080100922

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7144
#26
10.52.7
15.412.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End3.9
blue by 0.6
3658
#22
11.12.7
13.310.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Second
6150
#25
10.12.7
10.47.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.5
red by 0.9
7203
#34
9.12.7
10.57.8
Auto1.0
Teleop5.2
End2.9
Third
5708
#36
6.72.7
7.95.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End2.0
Level
5685
#32
6.72.7
12.49.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed