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Red31
50318.9
525616.2
781110.7
Blue36
571015.5
721911.3
613811.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37341020304050603136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#20
18.90.5
13.212.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End6.6
red by 3.4
5710
#19
15.50.5
11.812.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Second
5256
#29
16.20.5
13.312.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End3.1
red by 4.5
6138
#35
11.70.5
10.210.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End4.1
Third
7811
#28
10.70.5
9.08.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.3
blue by 0.6
7219
#24
11.30.5
9.910.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed