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Red33
613712.1
438119.0
525616.2
Blue35
365811.1
440810.8
615010.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423902060803335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.7
14.613.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 7.9
3658
#22
11.10.2
12.912.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Second
5256
#29
16.20.7
13.512.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End3.1
red by 5.4
4408
#17
10.80.2
11.611.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End4.3
Third
6137
#37
12.10.7
11.210.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 2.1
6150
#25
10.10.2
12.612.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsEarned