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Red42
655614.6
781110.7
722310.9
Blue20
615010.1
445312.7
72099.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31351520254045504220

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6556
#15
14.61.4
12.714.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End5.1
red by 2.0
4453
#23
12.71.4
13.812.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.7
Second
7223
#13
10.91.4
9.611.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End4.5
red by 0.9
6150
#25
10.11.4
7.05.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.5
Third
7811
#28
10.71.4
6.98.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.3
red by 1.7
7209
#39
9.01.4
12.010.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed