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Red55
438119.0
722310.9
456822.3
Blue51
655614.6
50318.9
779413.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5042203060705551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.5
20.320.8
Auto3.0
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 3.4
503
#20
18.91.2
16.617.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End6.6
Second
19.00.9
15.816.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 4.3
6556
#15
14.61.2
14.215.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End5.1
Third
7223
#13
10.90.9
11.011.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End4.5
blue by 2.1
7794
#31
13.01.2
9.310.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsEarned