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Red46
609212.1
655614.6
571015.5
Blue59
205428.0
567418.4
365811.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4451304060704659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5710
#19
15.50.5
15.015.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End3.6
blue by 12.5
28.01.1
22.523.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End8.2
Second
6556
#15
14.60.5
15.415.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End5.1
blue by 3.8
5674
#14
18.41.2
15.516.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End4.1
Third
6092
#18
12.10.5
10.911.4
Auto2.0
Teleop6.9
End3.3
red by 1.0
3658
#22
11.11.1
10.011.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned59%HAB Docking oddsEarned