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Red38
791117.3
615010.1
83012.2
Blue31
714410.5
555911.6
445312.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3437203040503831

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7911
#11
17.30.6
18.719.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End4.4
red by 4.6
4453
#23
12.70.4
12.111.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.7
Second
830
#38
12.20.6
8.49.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.5
red by 0.6
5559
#33
11.60.4
13.312.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Third
6150
#25
10.10.6
5.56.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 0.5
7144
#26
10.50.4
9.39.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed