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Red43
520526.3
56856.7
714410.5
Blue52
609212.1
525616.2
550120.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384720305060704352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.1
21.922.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End6.9
red by 6.0
20.20.5
20.319.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End8.4
Second
7144
#26
10.50.1
9.09.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End3.9
blue by 5.6
5256
#29
16.20.5
12.812.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End3.1
Third
5685
#32
6.70.1
5.25.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End2.6
blue by 5.4
6092
#18
12.10.5
11.410.9
Auto2.0
Teleop6.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned66%HAB Docking oddsEarned