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Red40
600216.7
365811.1
555911.6
Blue49
722310.9
445312.7
191823.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4348102030607080904049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.0
17.017.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End7.7
blue by 7.1
23.80.3
23.623.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End9.2
Second
5559
#33
11.60.0
11.811.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 1.0
4453
#23
12.70.3
12.112.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.7
Third
3658
#22
11.10.0
11.711.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 0.2
7223
#13
10.90.3
9.810.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned