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Red45
365811.1
72099.0
520526.3
Blue20
722310.9
522715.0
440810.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4136202530455055604520

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.7
15.215.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End6.9
red by 11.3
5227
#16
15.01.5
11.39.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End5.0
Second
3658
#22
11.10.7
12.613.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 0.2
7223
#13
10.91.5
11.29.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Third
7209
#39
9.00.7
11.111.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 1.8
4408
#17
10.81.5
11.49.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed