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Red56
520526.3
205428.0
714410.5
Blue67
456822.3
191823.8
83012.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6861405080905667

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.2
27.927.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End8.2
red by 4.2
23.80.3
23.523.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End9.2
Second
26.30.2
26.225.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End6.9
red by 4.0
22.30.2
22.022.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.5
End3.8
Third
7144
#26
10.50.2
10.410.2
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End3.9
blue by 1.7
830
#38
12.20.2
12.012.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.5