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Red99
365525.7
659125.6
766516.4
Blue68
214522.0
606725.2
674220.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70726080909968

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.4
25.325.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End7.1
red by 0.5
25.20.0
25.125.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End7.9
Second
25.60.4
25.325.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End7.6
red by 3.6
2145
#19
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End5.3
Third
7665
#26
16.40.4
16.016.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.3
blue by 4.4
6742
#21
20.80.0
20.720.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End4.2