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Red56
606725.2
366819.5
267616.6
Blue60
728920.0
663518.0
722221.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5755405060705660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.5
22.622.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End7.9
red by 3.3
7222
#14
21.90.3
20.120.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End5.3
Second
19.50.5
19.919.3
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End5.6
blue by 0.5
7289
#10
20.00.3
19.319.6
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Third
2676
#16
16.60.5
11.711.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End4.6
blue by 1.5
6635
#20
18.00.3
12.713.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned