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Red89
370735.3
567418.9
552312.4
Blue59
674220.8
365525.7
214522.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6666505560707580858959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.3
28.728.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.6
End7.8
red by 9.7
25.70.3
24.324.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End7.1
Second
5674
#12
18.90.3
18.818.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.4
End3.4
blue by 3.2
2145
#19
22.00.3
19.519.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End5.3
Third
5523
#33
12.40.3
15.014.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 8.4
6742
#21
20.80.3
19.018.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed67%HAB Docking oddsMissed