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Red50
267616.6
523814.7
66386.9
Blue44
356814.1
52318.3
365525.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374701020306070805044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2676
#16
16.61.0
11.112.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End4.6
blue by 9.1
25.70.0
24.024.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End7.1
Second
5238
#37
14.71.0
13.414.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 0.6
3568
#29
14.10.0
13.913.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End3.6
Third
6638
#40
6.91.0
10.211.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.4
blue by 1.5
5231
#35
8.30.0
6.26.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed70%HAB Docking oddsMissed