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Red62
749515.8
722618.6
659125.6
Blue40
722221.9
720216.5
552312.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535340455055606240

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.6
21.622.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End7.6
red by 3.8
7222
#14
21.90.6
20.619.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End5.3
Second
18.60.6
15.616.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End2.6
red by 2.1
7202
#18
16.50.6
14.313.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Third
7495
#28
15.80.6
13.213.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
red by 3.4
5523
#33
12.40.6
14.814.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed