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Red48
749515.8
674220.8
477627.7
Blue55
552419.0
659125.6
728920.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5857405060704855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.5
21.721.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End5.3
red by 2.1
25.60.1
21.421.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End7.6
Second
6742
#21
20.80.4
19.819.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End4.2
red by 0.8
7289
#10
20.00.1
18.518.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Third
7495
#28
15.80.5
13.012.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 3.3
5524
#11
19.00.1
13.813.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsMissed