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Red73
722221.9
261125.2
309812.1
Blue45
766516.4
89414.9
789412.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604220801007345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.1
23.724.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End8.4
red by 8.9
7665
#26
16.40.1
14.314.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Second
7222
#14
21.91.1
20.121.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End5.3
red by 7.0
894
#31
14.90.1
14.714.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.6
Third
3098
#38
12.11.1
12.713.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 0.4
7894
#23
12.60.2
11.111.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed