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Red49
719712.7
477627.7
728920.0
Blue55
365525.7
659517.6
523814.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615830405070804955

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.6
24.824.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End5.3
red by 2.0
25.70.0
23.623.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End7.1
Second
7289
#10
20.00.6
20.920.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 2.4
6595
#13
17.60.0
15.916.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End4.6
Third
7197
#32
12.70.6
12.011.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 2.1
5238
#37
14.70.0
15.415.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed