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Red50
722618.6
567418.9
719712.7
Blue32
366819.5
608515.4
66386.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494720304060705032

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#12
18.90.3
18.118.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.4
End3.4
blue by 0.7
19.51.5
18.917.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End5.6
Second
18.60.3
16.516.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End2.6
red by 3.2
6085
#24
15.41.5
15.514.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End4.8
Third
7197
#32
12.70.3
11.411.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.5
red by 5.8
6638
#40
6.91.5
10.08.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed