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Red58
705618.7
552312.4
89414.9
Blue48
523814.7
570410.9
150419.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51490204060801005848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#17
18.70.0
18.818.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End4.2
blue by 1.0
1504
#22
19.80.1
19.319.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Second
894
#31
14.90.0
15.615.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.6
red by 0.1
5238
#37
14.70.1
14.814.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
5523
#33
12.40.0
13.513.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.7
red by 1.5
5704
#30
10.90.1
12.512.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed