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Red50
365525.7
714411.3
365814.8
Blue22
309812.1
659212.4
728920.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54510204060801005022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.0
23.823.8
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End7.1
red by 5.7
7289
#10
20.01.7
21.119.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Second
3658
#15
14.80.0
15.215.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End3.4
red by 2.4
6592
#34
12.41.7
14.212.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.3
End3.2
Third
7144
#27
11.30.0
11.711.7
Auto4.7
Teleop1.8
End4.8
blue by 0.8
3098
#38
12.11.7
12.610.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed