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Red52
606725.2
722221.9
52318.3
Blue57
477627.7
608515.4
365814.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5959525456586062645257

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.3
25.925.7
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End7.9
blue by 2.5
27.70.3
26.225.9
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End5.3
Second
7222
#14
21.90.3
21.321.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End5.3
red by 6.5
6085
#24
15.40.3
14.714.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End4.8
Third
5231
#35
8.30.3
8.68.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 6.5
3658
#15
14.80.3
15.214.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsEarned