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Red35
674220.8
66386.9
705618.7
Blue64
309812.1
477627.7
720216.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5156203040607080903564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6742
#21
20.80.9
21.720.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End4.2
blue by 6.9
27.70.7
25.926.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.3
End5.3
Second
7056
#17
18.70.9
19.318.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End4.2
red by 2.3
7202
#18
16.50.7
15.716.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Third
6638
#40
6.90.9
7.86.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.4
blue by 5.2
3098
#38
12.10.7
11.412.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsMissed