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Red67
652827.8
506618.5
354228.2
Blue73
653823.4
354725.5
585319.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65564050607080906773

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.4
25.525.9
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End6.4
red by 2.7
25.51.1
19.620.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End9.2
Second
27.80.4
21.021.3
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End3.4
red by 4.4
6538
#10
23.41.1
18.219.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End6.6
Third
5066
#25
18.50.4
15.215.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.0
blue by 1.3
5853
#13
19.81.1
15.816.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed66%HAB Docking oddsEarned