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Red44
717512.2
714712.2
506723.4
Blue67
31422.2
691416.8
6728.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47663040607080904467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5067
#20
23.40.0
19.719.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End3.6
blue by 4.8
67
#3
28.10.1
27.827.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End9.6
Second
7175
#38
12.20.0
14.214.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End3.9
blue by 9.9
314
#12
22.20.1
22.322.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.3
End2.4
Third
7147
#40
12.20.1
10.610.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 4.7
6914
#29
16.80.1
12.712.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsEarned