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Red39
79129.2
717512.2
615017.0
Blue68
585319.8
610116.0
506723.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38541020305060703968

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6150
#34
17.00.2
13.914.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End1.9
blue by 6.4
5067
#20
23.40.6
19.720.2
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Second
7175
#38
12.20.2
14.114.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End3.9
blue by 7.6
5853
#13
19.80.6
16.517.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End5.1
Third
7912
#28
9.20.2
8.28.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End2.4
blue by 6.8
6101
#33
16.00.6
14.515.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed