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Red52
610116.0
608119.9
653823.4
Blue57
152813.2
506723.4
505319.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58502040805257

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6538
#10
23.40.2
21.321.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End6.6
red by 0.1
5067
#20
23.40.7
20.220.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Second
6081
#17
19.90.2
18.818.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End5.6
red by 0.3
5053
#14
19.60.7
16.617.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Third
6101
#33
16.00.2
15.114.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End5.6
red by 2.8
1528
#36
13.20.7
10.311.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed