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Red50
377315.0
423721.0
714712.2
Blue33
661822.7
695410.4
717512.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45532030406070805033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#11
21.00.5
20.621.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End3.5
blue by 1.7
6618
#16
22.71.1
23.122.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Second
3773
#27
15.00.5
15.015.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End3.8
red by 2.8
7175
#38
12.21.1
14.012.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End3.9
Third
7147
#40
12.20.7
7.38.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End2.7
red by 1.7
6954
#37
10.41.1
12.711.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed