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Red48
608119.9
57322.9
377315.0
Blue55
661513.6
354228.2
31422.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51633040607080904855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#24
22.90.0
19.619.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End6.9
blue by 5.3
28.20.3
25.024.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End6.4
Second
6081
#17
19.90.0
17.117.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End5.6
blue by 2.3
314
#12
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.3
End2.4
Third
3773
#27
15.00.0
11.511.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End3.8
red by 1.4
6615
#35
13.60.3
12.211.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed