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Red70
377315.0
354228.2
262022.4
Blue60
423721.0
610116.0
365628.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607030405080907060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.7
24.124.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End6.4
blue by 0.7
28.90.4
29.929.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End8.4
Second
22.40.7
16.817.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End7.2
red by 1.3
4237
#11
21.00.4
21.120.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End3.5
Third
3773
#27
15.00.7
15.516.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End3.8
blue by 1.0
6101
#33
16.00.4
15.415.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned82%HAB Docking oddsEarned