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Red36
717512.2
28014.1
439518.1
Blue73
31422.2
653823.4
150215.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456420304050607080903673

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4395
#18
18.10.5
15.715.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End6.5
blue by 5.3
6538
#10
23.40.6
22.723.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End6.6
Second
280
#26
14.10.5
13.613.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End3.3
blue by 8.1
314
#12
22.20.6
22.923.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.3
End2.4
Third
7175
#38
12.20.5
13.413.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End3.9
blue by 3.0
1502
#31
15.20.6
14.715.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsEarned