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Red54
31422.2
569514.5
377315.0
Blue67
695410.4
262022.4
505319.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55492030406070805467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#12
22.20.5
21.921.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.3
End2.4
blue by 0.2
22.41.4
20.221.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End7.2
Second
3773
#27
15.00.5
15.515.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End3.8
blue by 4.5
5053
#14
19.61.4
17.418.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Third
5695
#39
14.50.6
15.114.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
red by 4.1
6954
#37
10.41.4
9.110.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsEarned