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Red77
755329.6
150627.5
557717.3
Blue90
590721.3
283221.7
107622.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786640601007790

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.1
29.429.5
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End8.7
red by 7.1
1076
#19
22.40.5
21.622.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
27.50.1
27.327.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End9.3
red by 5.8
21.70.5
20.921.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Third
5577
#28
17.30.1
17.117.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 4.0
5907
#18
21.30.5
20.421.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End4.1