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Red54
54822.6
317515.7
361916.0
Blue86
590721.3
283221.7
107622.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586130405070805486

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#21
22.60.0
22.722.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End3.2
red by 0.2
1076
#19
22.40.6
20.020.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
3619
#11
16.00.0
16.116.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 5.7
21.70.6
19.319.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Third
15.70.0
15.815.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End2.8
blue by 5.6
5907
#18
21.30.6
18.919.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End4.1