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Red41
522513.6
615215.6
283221.7
Blue51
590721.3
361916.0
566210.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444602060801004151

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.0
14.014.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.3
red by 0.4
5907
#18
21.30.5
18.218.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Second
6152
#16
15.60.0
15.015.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.6
End3.2
blue by 0.4
3619
#11
16.00.5
15.716.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
5225
#34
13.60.0
12.312.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
red by 3.5
5662
#35
10.10.5
9.910.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed