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Red34
780715.9
566210.1
521711.2
Blue37
506511.5
570810.8
769214.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39280102050603437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7807
#36
15.90.2
17.617.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End4.7
red by 1.5
7692
#14
14.40.7
10.311.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End5.2
Second
5217
#32
11.20.2
8.78.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.2
blue by 0.3
5065
#26
11.50.7
8.89.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Third
5662
#35
10.10.2
10.310.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
blue by 0.7
5708
#23
10.80.7
7.48.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed