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Red56
619011.9
564124.7
438012.6
Blue27
785611.3
569515.1
61167.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4333102030405060705627

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.0
19.620.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End10.6
red by 9.6
5695
#39
15.10.3
14.614.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End3.3
Second
12.61.0
10.411.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
red by 1.3
7856
#40
11.30.3
9.99.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Third
6190
#30
11.91.0
11.012.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
red by 4.8
6116
#31
7.20.3
7.16.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed