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Red43
755329.6
570810.8
591512.6
Blue47
785611.3
722017.0
317515.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504942444648525456584347

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.3
26.826.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End8.7
red by 12.6
7220
#13
17.00.0
17.217.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Second
5915
#24
12.60.3
12.111.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.6
blue by 3.0
15.70.0
19.819.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Third
5708
#23
10.80.3
8.17.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.1
blue by 0.5
7856
#40
11.30.0
9.69.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed