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Red58
521711.2
605715.8
150627.5
Blue38
361916.0
438012.6
522513.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54422060801005838

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.5
25.025.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End9.3
red by 11.5
3619
#11
16.00.1
16.216.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Second
6057
#10
15.80.5
17.417.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End4.1
red by 2.2
5225
#34
13.60.1
12.112.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Third
5217
#32
11.20.5
8.59.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.2
blue by 1.4
12.60.1
11.411.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed