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Red39
566017.9
438012.6
515611.2
Blue63
54822.6
615215.6
577414.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4053102030607080903963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.1
16.116.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.5
blue by 4.7
548
#21
22.60.6
24.625.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End3.2
Second
12.60.1
11.311.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
blue by 3.0
6152
#16
15.60.6
15.616.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.6
End3.2
Third
5156
#25
11.20.1
10.610.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.2
blue by 3.1
5774
#17
14.30.6
10.310.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed