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Red34
475814.2
506511.5
785611.3
Blue55
608912.3
566017.9
107622.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39501020306070803455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4758
#38
14.20.2
15.415.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End2.8
blue by 8.3
1076
#19
22.40.1
19.819.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
5065
#26
11.50.2
12.111.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 6.4
17.90.1
16.116.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.5
Third
7856
#40
11.30.2
9.49.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 1.0
6089
#33
12.30.1
11.511.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed