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Red63
125025.9
283221.7
577414.3
Blue56
722017.0
553117.9
564124.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59603040507080906356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.3
24.925.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.9
End5.1
red by 1.2
24.70.1
23.423.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End10.6
Second
21.70.3
18.919.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.3
red by 3.8
5531
#20
17.90.1
16.216.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Third
5774
#17
14.30.3
12.112.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.4
blue by 2.7
7220
#13
17.00.1
17.417.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned74%HAB Docking oddsEarned