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Red51
557717.3
361916.0
506511.5
Blue50
515611.2
759817.2
769214.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494102060805150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#28
17.30.1
17.517.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 0.1
7598
#27
17.20.7
15.316.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End4.5
Second
3619
#11
16.00.1
16.616.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
red by 1.6
7692
#14
14.40.7
12.913.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End5.2
Third
5065
#26
11.50.1
11.912.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
red by 0.4
5156
#25
11.20.7
10.511.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned