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Red43
785611.3
608912.3
577414.3
Blue46
619011.9
521711.2
283221.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35420102030506070804346

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5774
#17
14.30.7
12.413.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.4
blue by 7.4
21.70.4
19.219.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Second
6089
#33
12.30.7
11.412.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End2.5
red by 0.4
6190
#30
11.90.4
10.611.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Third
7856
#40
11.30.7
9.29.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
red by 0.1
5217
#32
11.20.4
10.010.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed