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Red51
557717.3
107622.4
609610.7
Blue34
475814.2
566210.1
591512.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51392060805134

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#19
22.40.2
20.220.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End3.1
red by 8.3
4758
#38
14.20.2
15.014.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Second
5577
#28
17.30.2
17.617.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 4.6
5915
#24
12.60.2
11.711.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Third
6096
#29
10.70.2
10.510.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End1.9
red by 0.5
5662
#35
10.10.2
10.210.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed