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Red73
619011.9
553315.0
755329.6
Blue50
150627.5
769214.4
361916.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5760203040507080901007350

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.9
28.929.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End8.7
red by 2.1
27.50.5
26.726.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End9.3
Second
15.00.9
13.614.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End3.4
blue by 1.0
3619
#11
16.00.5
16.816.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
6190
#30
11.90.9
11.011.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 2.4
7692
#14
14.40.5
13.713.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned81%HAB Docking oddsEarned