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Red49
780715.9
283221.7
557717.3
Blue72
150627.5
577414.3
438012.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575302040801004972

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.3
19.619.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.3
blue by 5.8
27.51.4
26.227.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End9.3
Second
5577
#28
17.30.3
17.817.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 2.9
5774
#17
14.31.4
13.014.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.4
Third
7807
#36
15.90.3
16.215.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End4.7
red by 3.2
12.61.4
11.312.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned