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Red79
523421.1
14125.2
609817.2
Blue88
608821.8
439223.7
554720.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6666506070807988

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
25.20.4
24.925.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End6.6
red by 1.5
4392
#10
23.70.5
22.523.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Second
21.10.4
20.821.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End4.1
blue by 0.7
6088
#18
21.80.5
20.621.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End8.6
Third
6098
#21
17.20.4
16.817.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 3.3
5547
#37
20.40.5
19.319.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8