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Red48
570911.4
655820.9
554720.4
Blue59
570216.4
609817.2
724417.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45401020305060704859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.3
17.918.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.0
red by 3.1
7244
#23
17.81.2
12.213.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Second
5547
#37
20.40.3
17.217.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
red by 3.3
6098
#21
17.21.2
10.812.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Third
5709
#28
11.40.3
7.78.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.4
End2.2
blue by 5.0
5702
#38
16.41.2
15.016.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed